Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.266821 3.874564 4.594673 5.519479 6.688143 8.132791 1.008043e+01
2024-10-27 2.332246 3.044390 3.999229 5.406714 7.488428 10.556206 1.562718e+01
2024-11-03 2.027842 2.822190 3.981210 5.866922 9.007026 14.332076 2.481869e+01
2024-11-10 1.764332 2.574869 3.835335 6.050170 10.110489 17.869084 3.577331e+01
2024-11-17 1.594158 2.423363 3.786460 6.352547 11.494814 22.522282 5.246652e+01
2024-11-24 1.406362 2.204986 3.574889 6.297137 12.159202 26.008559 6.946761e+01
2024-12-01 1.276089 2.058774 3.455815 6.378938 13.132444 30.732620 9.521285e+01
2024-12-08 1.163303 1.924126 3.330452 6.412033 14.006190 35.728446 1.287108e+02
2024-12-15 1.096955 1.862270 3.330080 6.710011 15.652906 44.101289 1.912378e+02
2024-12-22 0.997445 1.724402 3.155307 6.569219 16.083465 48.879616 2.463736e+02
2024-12-29 0.925138 1.629264 3.052587 6.575823 16.949618 55.981774 3.362937e+02
2025-01-05 0.853027 1.525678 2.916133 6.467699 17.435687 62.063053 4.409763e+02
2025-01-12 0.803426 1.471696 2.902020 6.741042 19.546130 78.954306 7.635294e+02
2025-01-19 0.728752 1.358866 2.743222 6.602058 20.272375 90.861652 1.163004e+03
2025-01-26 0.706891 1.353449 2.830733 7.193456 24.182161 128.872222 2.812346e+03
2025-02-02 0.667517 1.303897 2.802101 7.429956 26.871441 166.102754 6.238166e+03
2025-02-09 0.639180 1.274743 2.818616 7.821166 30.656958 225.324780 1.836157e+04
2025-02-16 0.594323 1.201664 2.708047 7.749384 32.125126 268.122863 4.437128e+04
2025-02-23 0.561221 1.152015 2.651585 7.855369 34.732999 338.069198 1.692359e+05
2025-03-02 0.529225 1.101101 2.583076 7.898273 37.090656 420.047635 1.008929e+06
2025-03-09 0.511203 1.081958 2.600696 8.285220 42.157610 591.754979 1.852005e+08
2025-03-16 0.477693 1.020498 2.485938 8.102247 43.151071 689.350295 NaN
2025-03-23 0.452696 0.977908 2.420704 8.110824 45.702297 863.598938 NaN